Saturday, March 29, 2008

Mahdi Strategery

Very interesting take on what's currently going on in Iraq. Certainly more compelling than the Bush/McCain hundred years' war. John Robb writes:
The Iraqi government's militias (Army/police) are on the offensive in Basra, in an attempt to eliminate the Sadr's militia. In contrast to previous engagements with the Mahdi army, this fight is going to more interesting. A leaner and more efficient Mahdi army has learned from Hezbollah's success in southern Lebanon that a carefully planned defensive strategy in combination with a strategic timer (a series of actions that inflict visible strategic damage to the opponent) can rapidly dissolve the political will of a weak adversary...
We're essentially moving in the direction of insurgency 2.0, or what the bloggers are calling open source warfare. The western powers represent monolithic Microsoft type corporations with buggy code, bloated operating, and increasing dependence on hardware upgrades just to do the same things they could do in earlier eras. The insurgents on the other hand are being portrayed as hackers: smaller, faster, and smarter whose only goal is to disrupt and cripple the powers that be by hitting them where their strongest (which is Rove-ian politics at its finest, come to think of it).

Robb's blog predicted what's currently going on in the green zone, as well as the disruption of the oil pipelines.

[Via Kung Fu Monkey]