All of the political pundits want to know why the polls are so close. Every day they check the numbers and then speculate (wildly) about what it must mean. How is it that Obama isn't ahead by more? Why is the race so tight? Will Obama stumble? What about the disaffected Hillary voters? Blah, blah, and blah.
MSNBC seems to think that there's secret racism in the polling and that it's actually closer than it looks. This could be true, though I'm trying to pretend that race won't enter into it.
But my guess is that we're in a lull. The primary lasted too long, everyone's in summer mode, and no one's really committed to the election coverage yet.
I say, wait and see. Wait for the Olympics. Wait for the debates. Wait for the conventions. Wait for the 75,000 in Mile High stadium. Wait until the country has a chance to see these two guys standing next to each other, and then check the polls. The more charming candidate always wins. If Barack doesn't have a double-digit lead after all of that, then we'll know for certain that the Bradley effect is in play.
MSNBC seems to think that there's secret racism in the polling and that it's actually closer than it looks. This could be true, though I'm trying to pretend that race won't enter into it.
But my guess is that we're in a lull. The primary lasted too long, everyone's in summer mode, and no one's really committed to the election coverage yet.
I say, wait and see. Wait for the Olympics. Wait for the debates. Wait for the conventions. Wait for the 75,000 in Mile High stadium. Wait until the country has a chance to see these two guys standing next to each other, and then check the polls. The more charming candidate always wins. If Barack doesn't have a double-digit lead after all of that, then we'll know for certain that the Bradley effect is in play.
